Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.002451 0.002599 0.002758 0.002941 0.003148 0.003377 0.003651
2025-03-23 0.002261 0.002469 0.002704 0.002994 0.003348 0.003774 0.004339
2025-03-30 0.002087 0.002325 0.002604 0.002965 0.003431 0.004033 0.004909
2025-04-06 0.001932 0.002180 0.002481 0.002882 0.003423 0.004162 0.005325
2025-04-13 0.001827 0.002085 0.002405 0.002845 0.003462 0.004351 0.005866
2025-04-20 0.001690 0.001940 0.002253 0.002689 0.003313 0.004239 0.005887
2025-04-27 0.001632 0.001889 0.002217 0.002686 0.003379 0.004457 0.006534
2025-05-04 0.001607 0.001880 0.002234 0.002754 0.003555 0.004878 0.007722
2025-05-11 0.001562 0.001839 0.002204 0.002752 0.003620 0.005123 0.008658
2025-05-18 0.001548 0.001839 0.002230 0.002832 0.003827 0.005669 0.010668
2025-05-25 0.001504 0.001796 0.002193 0.002813 0.003862 0.005889 0.011956
2025-06-01 0.001454 0.001742 0.002137 0.002760 0.003834 0.005970 0.012869
2025-06-08 0.001436 0.001733 0.002147 0.002817 0.004016 0.006582 0.016740
2025-06-15 0.001413 0.001717 0.002146 0.002856 0.004175 0.007206 0.022506
2025-06-22 0.001373 0.001675 0.002105 0.002826 0.004195 0.007487 0.027486
2025-06-29 0.001325 0.001619 0.002040 0.002749 0.004110 0.007460 0.030011
2025-07-06 0.001290 0.001581 0.002001 0.002715 0.004111 0.007682 0.037143
2025-07-13 0.001230 0.001506 0.001901 0.002571 0.003869 0.007122 0.031226
2025-07-20 0.001208 0.001484 0.001884 0.002568 0.003925 0.007496 0.042675
2025-07-27 0.001203 0.001486 0.001902 0.002631 0.004129 0.008439 0.104104
2025-08-03 0.001183 0.001467 0.001886 0.002629 0.004190 0.008930 0.329521
2025-08-10 0.001181 0.001473 0.001910 0.002703 0.004439 0.010328 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001160 0.001450 0.001887 0.002685 0.004464 0.010796 NaN